Lakes and winding rivers characterize the landscape of the National Petroleum Reserve—Alaska (NPRA) shown in this image from June 26, 2014, taken as a part of the Bureau of Land Management’s “My Public Lands Roadtrip.”
Spanning roughly 23 million acres along the North Slope of Alaska, the National Petroleum Reserve—Alaska (NPRA) is managed by the U.S. Department of Interior’s Bureau of Land Management (BLM). In addition to managing oil and natural gas leases in the vast and remote region, the BLM is also tasked with evaluating potential impacts of natural gas and oil activities on all surface resources in the region, including fish species. Fish are a vital source of sustenance to the local communities of this region. Information on fish species distributions are needed to make well informed decisions on locating and building transportation routes and infrastructure, as well as where and when to permit water withdrawals and waste discharge related to the oil and gas industry. Managing natural resources over any 23-million-acre region is a daunting task. Factor in that the NPRA is north of the Arctic Circle, includes thousands of miles of streams, and contains virtually no road access, and the task of sampling fish species sounds like trying to move up a creek without a paddle. However, information on fish species distributions is needed to create a balance between sustainable development in the oil and natural gas industry with sustainable fish conservation.
To aid in solving this challenge, the BLM is working with a group of researchers led by Dr. John Olson (CSU-Monterrey Bay) to predict species occurrences for five of the major fishes of the region. The project uses remote sensing data alongside environmental deoxyribonucleic acid (eDNA), DNA collected from the environment in which a species lives rather than directly from the species itself, and other environmental data. The various types of data are being used to build species distribution models for the entirety of streams in the NPRA.
Including remotely sensed data as inputs into the species distribution models also helps to alleviate problems associated with the remoteness of the region. The project team groups Earth observations into two types of environmental predictors for the species distribution models: (1) static predictors, and (2) dynamic predictors. Static predictors used for this research include stream drainage area, stream slope, soil characteristics, and determination of lakes that do not freeze solid over the long arctic winter (captured using Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data). Dynamic predictors used in the modeling include a number of remotely sensed datasets from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor aboard the Terra satellite. MODIS data are a valuable resource for this type of project because they provide full spatial coverage of the region on a daily basis. Olson and colleagues used the following MODIS version 5 variables to match recent conditions with the eDNA samples: Evapotranspiration, Land Surface Temperature, Enhanced Vegetation Index, Gross Primary Productivity, Thermal Anomalies and Fire, and Snow Cover. The research group used MODIS’ extensive time series (2000–present) of these variables to create long term averages of the dynamic predictors as static environmental predictors in their models. Note that the Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center (LP DAAC) decommissioned MODIS version 5 land data products on April 9, 2018. Users are encouraged to use MODIS version 6 for similar studies in the future. Images 1-3 highlight MODIS version 6 products that are similar to the version 5 products used in the study over the National Petroleum Reserve—Alaska.
The environmental predictors are then summarized to the local catchment and watershed level using StreamCat, which uses algorithms to accumulate and produce watershed summaries of landscape features. The summarized environmental predictors are then used as inputs into two different types of models to predict the probability of species detection given local and watershed conditions, and the results are ultimately validated against eDNA and traditional sampling data for the limited data available in the NPRA.
This research project is ongoing, and the group hopes to continue developing the use of the dynamic predictors in future model runs. Ultimately, the species distribution map outputs will be integrated into the existing BLM decision support framework, and there are plans to develop an application that will allow BLM managers to access and use these data. Access to accurate species distribution data in a difficult to reach, remote region where only a small fraction of the waterbodies has been sampled is vital for natural resource managers to make informed decisions on how to balance the development of oil and gas activities in the NPRA with sustainable fish conservation for future generations.
Image 1: Terra MODIS 250 meter Enhanced Vegetation Index 8-day composite (MOD13Q1.006), from July 13–28, 2018, over northern Alaska, with National Petroleum Reserve—Alaska and anadromous stream boundaries from the North Slope Science Initiative.
Image 2: Terra MODIS 1000-meter Land Surface Temperature 8-day composite (MOD11A2.006), from July 13–20, 2018, over northern Alaska, with National Petroleum Reserve—Alaska and anadromous stream boundaries from the BLM North Slope Science Initiative.
Image 3: Terra MODIS 500-meter Gross Primary Productivity 8-day composite (MOD17A2H.006), from July 13–20, 2018, over northern Alaska, with National Petroleum Reserve—Alaska and anadromous stream boundaries from the North Slope Science Initiative.
BLM/North Slope Science Initiative, 2008, NPRA boundary, accessed August 30, 2018, at http://catalog.northslopescience.org/catalog/entries/4511-npra-boundary.
Bureau of Land Management, 2018, National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska, accessed August 30, 2018, at https://www.blm.gov/programs/energy-and-minerals/oil-and-gas/about/alaska/NPR-A.
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Freshwater Habitats Trust, 2015, PondNet—How to collect an eDNA sample, accessed August 30, 2018, at https://freshwaterhabitats.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/eDNA-method-protocol.pdf.
Hill, R.A., Weber, M.H., Leibowitz, S.G., Olsen, A.R., and Thornbrugh, D.J., 2016, The Stream-Catchment (StreamCat) dataset—A database of watershed metrics for the conterminous United States: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 52, no. 1, 120–128, accessed August 30, 2018, at https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12372.
Olson, J.R., Hawkins, C.P., Mock, K., Huntington, J., and Susfalk, R., 2014, System for Mapping and Predicting Species of Concern (SMAP-SOC), Phase I Final Report and Phase II Plan, NASA Earth Science Division/Applied Sciences Program, 827 Washington D.C.
Running, S., Mu, Q., and Zhao, M., 2015, MOD17A2H MODIS/Terra Gross Primary Productivity 8-Day L4 Global 500m SIN Grid V006 [Gpp_500m]: NASA EOSDIS Land Processes DAAC, accessed August 30, 2018, at https://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MOD17A2H.006.
Wan, Z., Hook, S., and Hulley, G., 2015, MOD11A2 MODIS/Terra Land Surface Temperature/Emissivity 8-Day L3 Global 1km SIN Grid V006 [LST_Day_1km]: NASA EOSDIS LP DAAC, accessed May 25, 2018, at https://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MOD11A2.006.
Material written by Cole Krehbiel1
1 Innovate!, Inc., contractor to the U.S. Geological Survey, Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA. Work performed under USGS contract G15PD00467 for LP DAAC2.
2 LP DAAC Work performed under NASA contract NNG14HH33I.